Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 81.553359 91.289205 101.204714 112.027676 123.478177 135.203526 148.089342
2025-09-28 64.619514 78.479988 93.208233 109.896055 128.158268 147.426183 169.184555
2025-10-05 58.044506 74.644327 92.800989 113.877094 137.429637 162.725749 191.742031
2025-10-12 52.206757 70.762611 91.593312 116.284920 144.366327 174.967979 210.510738
2025-10-19 45.784626 65.495336 88.206957 115.679149 147.442893 182.522438 223.726544
2025-10-26 40.380951 60.913348 85.173272 115.076829 150.172597 189.393271 235.914617
2025-11-02 36.387298 57.688486 83.443621 115.726999 154.110737 197.440216 249.258888
2025-11-09 32.171039 53.822646 80.648274 114.857327 156.063795 203.044157 259.679417
2025-11-16 28.925366 50.945208 78.857192 115.012083 159.068962 209.736931 271.239695
2025-11-23 25.511063 47.559696 76.207262 113.928637 160.444032 214.411319 280.371607
2025-11-30 23.489260 45.929905 75.684789 115.380998 164.789735 222.504238 293.416905
2025-12-07 21.759747 44.573187 75.415570 117.068968 169.359084 230.816654 306.686895
2025-12-14 19.187794 41.808429 73.171883 116.189284 170.768592 235.403223 315.656412
2025-12-21 16.376691 38.426669 69.913188 113.860545 170.278921 237.644017 321.808641
2025-12-28 15.889466 38.642814 71.589776 117.947362 177.777966 249.481771 339.315059
2026-01-04 14.942396 38.031926 72.053662 120.399126 183.200384 258.800114 353.828606
2026-01-11 13.183984 35.914620 70.270327 119.781982 184.684082 263.296899 362.564905
2026-01-18 11.592243 33.918121 68.552171 119.167512 186.106549 267.671558 371.118650
2026-01-25 10.470306 32.640979 67.816598 119.830690 189.125207 273.973510 381.967726
2026-02-01 9.080882 30.710823 66.005273 118.943633 190.088612 277.706553 389.691741
2026-02-08 8.053817 29.353464 64.989016 119.101487 192.367394 283.036801 399.326943
2026-02-15 6.865675 27.509612 63.122053 117.996320 192.942244 286.213412 406.320724
2026-02-22 6.281174 26.864095 63.104061 119.477778 196.900740 293.598415 418.432817